TrendFBI: U.S. facing "cybergeddon"

In biblical times they talked of “Armageddon.” The modern equivalent, according to the FBI, is “cybergeddon.” The reason: Cyber attacks pose the greatest threat to the United States after nuclear war and weapons of mass destruction — and these attacks are increasingly hard to prevent, FBI experts said Tuesday. Shawn Henry, assistant director of the FBI’s cyber division, told a conference in New York that computer attacks pose the biggest risk “from a national security perspective, other than a weapon of mass destruction or a bomb in one of our major cities.” He added: “Other than a nuclear device or some other type of destructive weapon, the threat to our infrastructure, the threat to our intelligence, the threat to our computer network is the most critical threat we face.”

This is U.S. security experts now talk of “cybergeddon,” in which an advanced economy — where almost everything of importance is linked to or even controlled by computers — is sabotaged by hackers. Michael Balboni, deputy secretary for public safety in New York state, described “a huge threat out there” against everything from banking institutions to municipal water systems and dams.

Henry said that terrorist groups are working to create a virtual 9/11, “inflicting the same kind of damage on our country, on all our countries, on all our networks, as they did in 2001 by flying planes into buildings.” An online attack of that scale has not yet happened in the United States but computer hacking — once something of a sport for brilliant delinquents — is rapidly evolving around the world as a tool of war.

Russian hackers mounted huge assaults on Internet networks in Estonia and Georgia last year (see 30 December 2008 HS Daily Wire), while Palestinian sympathizers have orchestrated attacks against hundreds of Israeli Web sites in the last few days.

Following years of fighting online criminal groups, the FBI and other countries’ security services know hackers as the most elusive and innovative of foes. “It used to be we’d chase people around, literally carrying duffel bags of cash,” said Donald Codling, the FBI’s cyber unit liaison with DHS. “Nowadays the guy can use his SIM chip and he can move money all over the world and his confederates can withdraw that money from an ATM in a currency of his or her choice. It’s extraordinarily difficult for us to catch them.”

Codling, as do other cyber crime fighters, expressed grudging admiration for the skills of his adversaries, who he said are highly motivated and often a step ahead. “What the Internet has allowed you to do is make all the human frailties like greed, avarice and all those lovely things much more efficient,” he said. “We’re seeing that the folks on the cutting edge of this tend to be the bad guys. There’s a financial reason for them to be good at this.”

Christopher Painter, an FBI specialist focused on building international cooperation, described another basic weakness in the fight for cyber security: the threat is largely invisible and therefore not always taken seriously. “It’s not like a fire,” he said. “It’s hard to get your head around the threat. We often discover a company has been attacked and we tell them that and they don’t know.”